Courtesy of an AP Tally we get the following result for pledged delegates accumulated in the primaries and caucuses held last Tuesday. (Pledged delegates won to date are in parenthesis)
Kerry: 144 (176)
Edwards: 66 (84)
Clark: 50 (50)
Dean: 7 (24)
Sharpton: 2 (2)
As I explained earlier Sharpton did indeed win a delegate in Delaware and now it appears he has won one in South Carolina as well. Although the party's results by district dont' show Sharpton meeting the 15% threshold in any district, you will note that the results only include 89.3% of the precincts in the 6th district where Sharpton was doing the best. The State has more complete results (although still missing 7 precincts) and it has Sharpton winning a delegate. In any case, for now I'm going with the AP's count.
UPDATE (2/7): The link to the newspaper The State above now has Sharpton without a delegate. CNN is also now reporting Sharpton with an "initial" delegate win in SC, but currently no delegate win there. I have not been able to find complete results broken down congressional district. For now it seems that Sharpton is back to 1 delegate. That delegate should probably go to Edwards, although the CNN count seems to have an Edwards delegate elsewhere going to Kerry.
So how did I do with my predictions? Not bad. I correctly predicted which candidates would win state-wide delegates from which states. I didn't forsee Sharpton picking off two district delegates or Dean picking off three in AZ. Overall I correctly predicted 248/269 delegates or 92.2%. The main reason I was off was in underestimating Edwards strength against Kerry in MO and SC.
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